Daugava Riga vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daugava Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
FKD
1 - 2
FCS
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
FKD
0 - 3
FKJ
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
FKD
2 - 1
FKS
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
LIE
1 - 2
FKD
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
FKD
2 - 0
FSM
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
FCJ
1 - 1
BFC
39%
25%
35%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BFC
0 - 1
VEN
17%
24%
60%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
BFC
0 - 2
FCD
22%
25%
54%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
FCS
2 - 0
BFC
76%
17%
7%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
BFC
0 - 2
FKJ
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |