Chernihiv vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+109%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
2º
1º
4
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
12 | 35 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 30 |
2º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 30 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 29 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 28 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 27 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 22 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 22 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 17 |
9º
|
51% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 9 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
79% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FKC
1 - 0
CHA
25%
23%
51%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
OBO
2 - 1
FKC
72%
19%
10%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FYM
2 - 5
FKC
61%
22%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 0
FKC
72%
16%
12%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 4
FKC
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
MKI
3 - 3
RYV
8%
14%
78%
|
6 | 58 | 52 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
MKI
2 - 4
SST
9%
16%
75%
|
7 | 51 | 44 | -1 |