Chernihiv vs Kremin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
4º
10º
9º
21
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
POL
1 - 1
FKC
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FKC
0 - 2
LNZ
18%
23%
59%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MEZ
0 - 2
FKC
71%
19%
10%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FKC
0 - 1
OBO
18%
25%
57%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FKC
1 - 1
SKT
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Kremin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
KRE
0 - 3
OBO
22%
26%
52%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
POL
2 - 0
KRE
44%
23%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
KRE
7 - 0
HSP
22%
25%
54%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
LNZ
2 - 0
KRE
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
KRE
3 - 1
SKT
27%
27%
46%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |