Chernihiv vs FSC Mariupol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
6º
6º
12
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
KRE
3 - 0
FKC
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
HSP
0 - 2
FKC
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FKC
0 - 1
POL
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LNZ
2 - 2
FKC
65%
23%
13%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FKC
0 - 0
MEZ
28%
27%
46%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FSC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCD
1 - 4
FYM
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FYM
0 - 1
BUK
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NYV
1 - 1
FYM
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FYM
0 - 1
FED
18%
23%
60%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FYM
0 - 2
POL
21%
26%
53%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |