Chernihiv vs Alians Lypova Dolyna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.1%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
3%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.4%
87.5%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
19.2%
0-4
9.5%
1-5
4.3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
14.8%
0-5
6.5%
1-6
2.5%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
9.4%
0-6
3.7%
1-7
1.2%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
5.1%
0-7
1.8%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
2.4%
0-8
0.8%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
1%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
FKC
1 - 2
FCD
19%
25%
57%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
FKC
0 - 0
AFS
48%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
FKC
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FKC
2 - 1
MSK
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
FRK
2 - 0
FKC
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Alians Lypova Dolyna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
POL
3 - 1
ALD
19%
26%
56%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
ALD
1 - 0
AVA
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
ALD
2 - 1
AVA
55%
22%
24%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
VPK
0 - 3
ALD
29%
27%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
ALD
0 - 0
VOL
44%
27%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |