Chayka vs Rotor Volgograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
3º
2º
64
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
64 | 12 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 10 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
1º
|
72 | 9 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 3 |
5º
|
87.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 1 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chayka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 2
FKK
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHA
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
FOT
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
FKK
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BIO
0 - 2
CHA
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rotor Volgograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
ROT
2 - 1
CHE
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FOT
1 - 2
ROT
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ROT
3 - 0
BIO
68%
21%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FOT
0 - 0
ROT
26%
26%
49%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
ROT
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |