Kozarska Dubica vs FK Modrica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
34.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
17º
15º
39
15º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
44 | 44 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
43 | 43 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
39 | 39 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kozarska Dubica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SLA
5 - 2
BZD
63%
21%
17%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BZD
1 - 1
RUD
18%
24%
59%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
ROP
2 - 0
BZD
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BZD
2 - 1
FVN
61%
20%
20%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PRN
2 - 2
BZD
59%
19%
22%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FK Modrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MOD
4 - 1
KOZ
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SLO
5 - 0
MOD
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
SLA
1 - 0
MOD
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MOD
1 - 1
RUD
14%
22%
64%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ROP
3 - 0
MOD
71%
18%
12%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |