Banga II vs FC Hegelmann II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
3.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+988%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
5º
16º
15º
15
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 62 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 58 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 48 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 44 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 43 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 42 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 41 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 40 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 29 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 24 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 24 |
15º
|
28% | |
|
|
13º
|
15 | 23 |
16º
|
31% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
19.5% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17.5% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation
|
63% | 62% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Banga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FKB
0 - 2
BEN
26%
26%
48%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NEV
0 - 1
FKB
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
FKB
2 - 0
MIN
27%
21%
52%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 0
FKB
54%
23%
24%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FKB
3 - 0
BFA
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
FC Hegelmann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 1
FHL
93%
5%
2%
|
6 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
FHL
0 - 5
TRA
12%
19%
69%
|
6 | 59 | 53 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
FHL
1 - 3
BEN
14%
22%
64%
|
7 | 60 | 53 | -1 |