Baltika II vs FC Saturn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
6º
6º
42
3º
16º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 62 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 55 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 55 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 53 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 53 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 47 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 47 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 47 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 41 |
10º
|
57% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 36 |
11º
|
60.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 29 |
12º
|
49.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 26 |
14º
|
74% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 15 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 12 |
16º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltika II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
FKI
2 - 2
FBK
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
FBK
0 - 3
SPA
17%
22%
61%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ZEN
3 - 3
FBK
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FBK
1 - 0
ZSP
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ROM
2 - 0
FBK
30%
27%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FC Saturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
SAT
2 - 0
ZNA
70%
16%
13%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
FKI
0 - 4
SAT
48%
21%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
FYK
2 - 2
SAT
19%
21%
61%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SAT
0 - 1
TOR
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 2
SAT
55%
23%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |