Baltika II vs Irkutsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+99%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
8º
8º
57
2º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltika II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 1
FBK
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FBK
1 - 0
ZEN
40%
25%
34%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ZSP
2 - 2
FBK
24%
24%
51%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FBK
4 - 2
ROM
48%
25%
28%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LUK
0 - 0
FBK
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Irkutsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FKI
1 - 0
ZNA
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FKI
0 - 0
FYK
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FKI
3 - 0
TOR
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 2
FKI
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FKI
1 - 0
CHE
33%
23%
44%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |