Baltika II vs Chertanovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
51.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
9º
12º
9º
35
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 16 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 16 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltika II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FBK
0 - 1
ZSP
19%
24%
57%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FKE
0 - 2
FBK
18%
20%
62%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FBK
0 - 1
LUK
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ZEN
1 - 1
FBK
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
FBK
0 - 0
DIN
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chertanovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 2
FCN
34%
23%
43%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 1
MUR
35%
26%
40%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ZNA
0 - 3
CHE
15%
19%
66%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 0
TEK
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 1
MUR
22%
25%
53%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +2 |