FK Baku vs Simurq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 0
FKB
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
FKB
0 - 0
MUR
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
FKN
0 - 2
FKB
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 0
FKB
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FKB
2 - 0
FKN
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Simurq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SIM
1 - 1
FKQ
30%
30%
41%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
FCK
0 - 1
SIM
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SIM
1 - 1
REV
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AZA
0 - 0
SIM
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SIM
2 - 1
SUM
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |