FK Baku vs Žilina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2005 |
SHA
1 - 2
FKB
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2005 |
FKB
4 - 0
ADL
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
KAR
0 - 1
FKB
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
FKB
1 - 0
SHA
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
MOI
0 - 0
FKB
21%
27%
52%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Žilina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
ZIL
7 - 3
BRA
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
TRE
2 - 1
ZIL
35%
28%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
ZIL
3 - 0
RUZ
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
PUC
0 - 1
ZIL
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
ZIL
5 - 0
DUB
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |