Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 4-2
FK Baku vs Budućnost analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
FKB
2 - 1
KHA
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
KHA
0 - 1
FKB
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
FKB
0 - 0
SHA
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
SHA
1 - 3
FKB
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
QAR
1 - 0
FKB
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
PET
1 - 2
BUD
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
BUD
2 - 0
BER
70%
18%
11%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
BUD
1 - 2
RUD
54%
22%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
SUT
2 - 0
BUD
43%
29%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
BUD
1 - 1
DEC
75%
17%
9%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |