FK TSC vs Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
13º
6º
8
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 63 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 55 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 55 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 50 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 48 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 48 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 45 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 42 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 37 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 35 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 34 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 30 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 28 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
80.5% | 12% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19.5% | 88% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK TSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TOD
2 - 1
BAC
15%
23%
62%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BAC
1 - 2
MLA
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
BAC
1 - 5
MTA
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
MTA
3 - 0
BAC
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAC
0 - 1
BEO
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NPA
2 - 2
ČUK
23%
26%
51%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NPA
3 - 1
JED
55%
25%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TOD
2 - 1
NPA
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NPA
0 - 1
MLA
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CRV
4 - 1
NPA
71%
18%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |