FK TSC vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
2º
4º
2º
40
8º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
75 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 11 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 11 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK TSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
MLA
2 - 0
BAC
21%
24%
56%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BAC
2 - 0
ČUK
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
BAC
4 - 3
RAD
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
CRV
2 - 1
BAC
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 2
BAC
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 4
CRV
12%
21%
67%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
VOJ
5 - 0
NAP
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
NAP
3 - 3
PAR
14%
23%
64%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ČUK
2 - 0
NAP
74%
18%
8%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 4
RAD
27%
29%
45%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |