Astana II vs Arys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
54.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
10º
14º
15º
33
1º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 4
FKA
71%
16%
13%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 1
KYR
14%
17%
69%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FKZ
2 - 0
FKA
74%
17%
10%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 2
FKK
65%
17%
18%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
EKI
2 - 3
FKA
75%
15%
9%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Arys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
ARY
0 - 2
AKZ
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
KAI
5 - 1
ARY
60%
21%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
ARY
3 - 3
FKA
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
KYR
0 - 1
ARY
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
ARY
0 - 2
FKZ
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |