Arys vs Kairat-Zhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
ULY
4 - 1
ARY
35%
24%
42%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ARY
0 - 1
AKZ
28%
26%
45%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
AKZ
2 - 1
ARY
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 1
ARY
18%
20%
62%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ARY
3 - 2
SDF
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kairat-Zhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 0
OKZ
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 1
FKA
82%
12%
6%
|
71 | 25 | 46 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
KAS
4 - 2
KAI
37%
24%
39%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 4
KAI
21%
23%
57%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 0
FKK
79%
14%
8%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | +1 |