Arys vs Kaspiy Aktau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
FJQ
1 - 0
ARY
14%
17%
69%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
FKK
2 - 3
ARY
17%
21%
62%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
ARY
1 - 1
EKI
41%
24%
36%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
FKY
3 - 0
ARY
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ARY
2 - 1
FKA
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Kaspiy Aktau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
KAS
2 - 4
FJQ
80%
13%
7%
|
61 | 30 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
KAS
1 - 0
ORD
18%
24%
58%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 1
KAS
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
KAS
1 - 1
KAI
15%
22%
63%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KAI
3 - 1
KAS
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |