Arys vs Akademiya Ontustik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
13º
8º
21
11º
13º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
KYR
0 - 1
ARY
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
ARY
0 - 2
FKZ
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
EKI
3 - 0
ARY
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
ARY
0 - 2
FKY
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
FKA
5 - 1
ARY
7%
16%
77%
|
59 | 8 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Akademiya Ontustik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 1
KYR
19%
20%
61%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
FKK
3 - 0
FKA
14%
19%
67%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 1
EKI
33%
23%
44%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
FKY
5 - 2
FKA
25%
23%
52%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
FKA
5 - 2
FKA
96%
3%
1%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |