Arys vs Ekibastuzets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FKK
3 - 2
ARY
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ARY
2 - 1
KKY
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
TAR
3 - 0
ARY
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ARY
1 - 1
FKY
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
OKZ
7 - 1
ARY
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ekibastuzets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
EKI
3 - 0
KKY
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FKZ
3 - 2
EKI
20%
22%
58%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
EKI
1 - 4
KAI
25%
23%
52%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 4
EKI
18%
21%
61%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
EKI
2 - 1
FKK
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |