Arys vs Aktobe II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
13º
8º
23
1º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
FKY
0 - 6
ARY
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ARY
0 - 4
FKT
25%
26%
50%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
TAR
2 - 1
ARY
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
ARY
1 - 1
FJQ
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
FKA
3 - 0
ARY
23%
22%
55%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Aktobe II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
FKA
3 - 0
FKA
7%
11%
82%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
KYR
2 - 0
FKA
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 60 | 46 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 5
FKZ
12%
20%
68%
|
14 | 64 | 50 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 1
FKA
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 2
EKI
7%
14%
79%
|
13 | 55 | 42 | 0 |