Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slavia Mozyr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
14º
5º
28
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 58 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 57 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 44 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 43 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 42 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 40 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 38 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 29 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 27 |
14º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 25 |
15º
|
48% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 18 |
16º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
FKA
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
3 - 1
ISL
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 0
FKA
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
3 - 1
DNP
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
FKA
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Slavia Mozyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 0
SLA
54%
24%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 1
SHA
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ISL
0 - 0
SLA
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
1 - 2
VIT
33%
28%
40%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DNP
1 - 2
SLA
31%
27%
43%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |