Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Maxline Vitebsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
81
1º
3º
1º
61
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 5 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 5
FKA
8%
20%
72%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FKA
3 - 0
BAR
79%
15%
7%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GOM
1 - 3
FKA
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FKA
7 - 2
LID
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DNP
2 - 0
FKA
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Maxline Vitebsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MKK
1 - 0
LID
75%
15%
10%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
DNP
2 - 1
MKK
50%
24%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MKK
6 - 3
FCN
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ZHY
4 - 1
MKK
24%
22%
54%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MKK
0 - 4
VIT
36%
25%
38%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |