FK Arendal vs Vindbjart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MOS
2 - 3
FKA
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ROS
1 - 4
FKA
40%
22%
39%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
FKA
1 - 1
EID
48%
22%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VID
0 - 0
FKA
57%
20%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FKA
1 - 3
DON
73%
16%
12%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vindbjart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
STR
3 - 2
VIN
39%
22%
40%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
JER
2 - 2
VIN
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ODD
8 - 4
VIN
34%
23%
43%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VIN
1 - 1
75%
15%
11%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
FYL
3 - 1
VIN
30%
23%
47%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |