FK Arendal vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
10º
3º
27
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AAL
1 - 1
FKA
20%
20%
60%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 0
FRA
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ORN
1 - 3
FKA
23%
21%
56%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
LYN
4 - 3
FKA
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 1
EGE
36%
25%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GRO
4 - 0
VAR
49%
24%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 2
ORN
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
AAL
1 - 0
VAR
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 0
TRA
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 1
FRA
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |