FK Arendal vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
STB
0 - 1
FKA
32%
23%
45%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
FKA
2 - 1
NAR
68%
18%
13%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
FKA
1 - 0
KJE
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
0 - 0
FKA
41%
23%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
FKA
0 - 1
SKE
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 2
HOD
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 1
VAR
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
VID
1 - 2
VAR
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 2
EGE
23%
25%
52%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2018 |
VAL
5 - 3
VAR
51%
23%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |