FK Arendal vs Træff analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
9.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
10º
3º
26
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 0
FKA
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 0
VAR
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AAL
1 - 1
FKA
20%
20%
60%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 0
FRA
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ORN
1 - 3
FKA
23%
21%
56%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Træff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 4
LYN
15%
20%
65%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ORN
2 - 3
TRA
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 5
EGE
16%
22%
62%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
KJE
1 - 1
TRA
69%
19%
11%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 0
VAL
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |