FK Arendal vs Ørn Horten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
11º
9º
23
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 57 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 48 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 37 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 34 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 32 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 27 |
12º
|
59% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
75% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 18 |
14º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 79.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FRA
0 - 3
FKA
20%
20%
60%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LYS
2 - 1
FKA
33%
24%
43%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 1
FFC
53%
23%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
IEX
1 - 2
FKA
6%
12%
82%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
FKA
22%
22%
56%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
ORN
2 - 3
BRA
56%
21%
23%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ORN
2 - 0
BRA
31%
23%
46%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
ORN
0 - 3
MJO
26%
23%
51%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
JER
1 - 0
ORN
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
ORN
4 - 0
AFK
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |