FK Arendal vs Lysekloster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
11º
11º
38
3º
14º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 59 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 50 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 48 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 45 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 31 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
62.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 20 |
14º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 28.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation
|
18.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 1
FKA
34%
25%
42%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ORN
1 - 1
FKA
25%
22%
53%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 2
BRA
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 1
FKA
52%
22%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 1
VIK
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lysekloster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LYS
1 - 0
ORN
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 3
LYS
43%
23%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
LYS
1 - 0
ETO
41%
24%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
JER
3 - 1
LYS
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
LYS
4 - 3
BRA
52%
23%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |