FK Arendal vs Hødd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
11º
11º
49
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 59 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 50 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 48 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 45 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 31 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
62.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 20 |
14º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 96.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
18.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KVI
0 - 3
FKA
20%
21%
58%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 3
LYS
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 1
FKA
34%
25%
42%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ORN
1 - 1
FKA
25%
22%
53%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 2
BRA
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hødd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HOD
3 - 2
LYS
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 3
HOD
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HOD
1 - 0
ETO
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
FFC
0 - 3
HOD
19%
25%
57%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
HOD
2 - 1
VIK
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |