FK Arendal vs Grorud IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
10º
3º
36
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
KJE
3 - 1
FKA
36%
25%
40%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FKA
3 - 0
EGE
41%
23%
37%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 0
ORN
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SKE
5 - 0
FKA
51%
22%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FKA
8 - 0
VIN
83%
12%
6%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Grorud IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 0
AAL
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MOS
3 - 0
GRO
55%
22%
24%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ULL
1 - 0
GRO
55%
21%
24%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 1
ALT
57%
21%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
HON
5 - 2
GRO
79%
15%
7%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |