FK Arendal vs Birkebeineren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
HOL
4 - 1
FKA
31%
22%
48%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
FKA
2 - 4
JER
38%
24%
39%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
3 - 1
FKA
51%
22%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
EGE
3 - 2
FKA
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
FKA
0 - 3
VIN
45%
22%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Birkebeineren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
BIR
3 - 7
STR
38%
22%
40%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
KON
1 - 3
BIR
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
BIR
1 - 2
ASK
23%
22%
55%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ORN
1 - 0
BIR
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BIR
1 - 2
NOT
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |