Alay Osh vs Ilbirs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alay Osh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 0
ALD
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 0
DBI
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 1
FKA
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ALG
1 - 1
FKA
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 2
KBA
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ilbirs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
FTS
0 - 1
MUR
24%
21%
55%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
5 - 1
FTS
78%
15%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
KBA
1 - 1
FTS
20%
22%
59%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
FTS
1 - 2
TAL
35%
24%
42%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
FTS
4 - 0
ALD
65%
19%
17%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |