Alay Osh vs Ilbirs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alay Osh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 0
ALD
91%
7%
2%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 0
FKA
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DMK
0 - 0
FKA
77%
16%
7%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 0
FKA
91%
7%
2%
|
30 | 65 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
0 - 1
FKA
82%
13%
6%
|
29 | 58 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Ilbirs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
NEF
1 - 0
FTS
58%
23%
19%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
FTS
0 - 2
DBI
24%
22%
53%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
NEF
1 - 0
FTS
55%
24%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
FTS
0 - 0
FKA
26%
23%
51%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
FKA
4 - 2
FTS
66%
20%
14%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |