Aksu vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
39.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
10º
14º
13º
34
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aksu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KAI
4 - 1
AKS
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AKS
2 - 0
KAI
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MAQ
2 - 0
AKS
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
AKS
0 - 1
OKZ
41%
26%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KYZ
1 - 0
AKS
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 1
KAS
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
MAQ
1 - 1
TOB
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 1
TOB
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
KYZ
1 - 1
TOB
39%
29%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 2
ZHE
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |