Akron Tolyatti II vs Uralets TS Nizhnyi Tagil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
77.1%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+110%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
10º
14º
12º
26
6º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 47 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 43 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 43 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
77% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 32 |
8º
|
63% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 28 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 27 |
11º
|
31% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
12º
|
49.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 23 |
13º
|
65% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 17 |
14º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akron Tolyatti II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
URA
3 - 0
FKA
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 2
DIN
25%
21%
54%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FKA
5 - 0
MSA
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FKA
1 - 2
FKK
7%
13%
80%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FKA
2 - 2
FZI
35%
22%
43%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Uralets TS Nizhnyi Tagil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UNT
1 - 3
DIN
55%
22%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
URA
1 - 1
UNT
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
URA
2 - 2
UNT
28%
21%
51%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
NOS
0 - 0
UNT
13%
15%
72%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
TMO
1 - 7
UNT
4%
9%
87%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |