Botev Vratsa II vs Lokomotiv Mezdra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
67.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
8º
14º
14º
54
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 31 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
53.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Vratsa II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
ASV
3 - 0
ABV
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ABV
2 - 0
OFK
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DLO
0 - 3
ABV
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ABV
1 - 5
LOK
4%
12%
84%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ETR
2 - 1
ABV
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Mezdra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
LOK
3 - 0
BTL
76%
14%
10%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PAV
1 - 1
LOK
16%
20%
64%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LOK
0 - 0
SEV
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 5
LOK
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LOK
4 - 0
FKD
74%
16%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |