Fiumana US vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiumana US
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1941 |
FIU
2 - 1
GEN
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
FIU
3 - 1
PIR
86%
10%
5%
|
82 | 18 | 64 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
FIU
4 - 0
FMO
86%
10%
5%
|
82 | 17 | 65 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
GRP
0 - 1
FIU
17%
20%
63%
|
82 | 7 | 75 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
CSP
1 - 2
FIU
17%
20%
63%
|
82 | 6 | 76 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1941 |
SPE
1 - 0
ANC
86%
9%
5%
|
60 | 25 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1940 |
SPE
4 - 3
PIS
57%
20%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1938 |
SPE
0 - 1
VNZ
37%
23%
40%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1938 |
SPE
1 - 0
MOL
87%
9%
4%
|
60 | 21 | 39 | 0 |