First Vienna II vs Donaufeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
66.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
FIR
4 - 1
MAN
45%
23%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AUS
4 - 1
FIR
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FIR
1 - 5
OST
22%
21%
57%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GER
3 - 1
FIR
37%
24%
40%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
FIR
1 - 1
STA
21%
23%
55%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
DON
6 - 2
AUS
73%
16%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
OST
3 - 1
DON
33%
24%
44%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
DON
5 - 1
GER
87%
10%
3%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
STA
1 - 2
DON
40%
25%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
DON
4 - 2
TEA
62%
20%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |