First Vienna II vs Donau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
45.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
RED
1 - 2
FIR
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FIR
6 - 1
GER
43%
21%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
WIE
0 - 2
FIR
72%
16%
13%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
FIR
80%
12%
8%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
DON
4 - 0
FIR
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -5 |
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
DON
3 - 0
FCW
41%
23%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KAG
1 - 4
DON
19%
19%
63%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DON
0 - 3
VOI
5%
12%
83%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DON
3 - 4
NEU
10%
17%
73%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 1
DON
85%
11%
5%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |