First Vienna II vs Donau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
43.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
POS
4 - 1
FIR
75%
16%
10%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SCW
5 - 2
FIR
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
FIR
4 - 0
DON
18%
21%
60%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +3 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
GER
1 - 0
FIR
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
FIR
3 - 1
FOR
37%
23%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
DON
0 - 3
AUS
42%
23%
34%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
DON
0 - 2
TEA
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
FIR
4 - 0
DON
18%
21%
60%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -3 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
DON
1 - 2
DON
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
GER
0 - 1
DON
20%
23%
57%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |