First Vienna II vs Donau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
60.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2013 |
GER
1 - 0
FIR
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
FIR
3 - 1
FOR
37%
23%
40%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
FIR
0 - 2
FAV
27%
23%
50%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
AUS
2 - 2
FIR
77%
14%
8%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FIR
0 - 1
GER
39%
25%
36%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
DON
1 - 2
DON
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
GER
0 - 1
DON
20%
23%
57%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SCF
2 - 1
DON
10%
19%
71%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
DON
0 - 0
STA
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
FAV
1 - 1
DON
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |