L.A. Firpo vs CD Fuerte San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
6º
3º
34
2º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FIR
1 - 0
JOC
45%
28%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
FIR
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 2
FIR
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FIR
1 - 1
MUN
50%
27%
24%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
ONC
1 - 1
FIR
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Fuerte San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FUE
1 - 2
MUN
15%
22%
62%
|
18 | 59 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 0
FUE
76%
16%
7%
|
17 | 66 | 49 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 2
FUE
74%
17%
8%
|
16 | 70 | 54 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 2
FUE
83%
12%
5%
|
15 | 57 | 42 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FUE
1 - 0
JOC
10%
19%
71%
|
14 | 59 | 45 | +1 |