L.A. Firpo vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
6º
3º
32
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 0
FIR
16%
22%
62%
|
68 | 24 | 44 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
FIR
2 - 0
MUN
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 0
FIR
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FAS
4 - 1
FIR
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FIR
1 - 0
AGU
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 1
CDC
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 22 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 0
ALI
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 0
FIR
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CDP
0 - 2
ALI
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 2
ALI
21%
26%
53%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |