L.A. Firpo vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
6º
2º
21
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
21 | 36 |
1º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 36 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 35 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 35 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 28 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 27 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 27 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 26 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 19 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 17 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 16 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 0
FIR
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FAS
4 - 1
FIR
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FIR
1 - 0
AGU
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 3
FIR
38%
26%
35%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MET
1 - 2
FIR
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 0
ALI
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 0
FIR
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CDP
0 - 2
ALI
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 2
ALI
21%
26%
53%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 0
FAS
47%
26%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |