L.A. Firpo vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
38.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
6º
3º
32
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 2
FIR
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
FIR
3 - 1
ONC
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
FIR
0 - 2
FAS
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 3
FIR
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
FIR
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MET
3 - 1
ALI
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 1
AGU
46%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MUN
0 - 2
ALI
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
CDP
0 - 2
ALI
19%
25%
56%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
ONC
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |