La Fiorita vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 0
COS
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 2
FIO
17%
24%
59%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FIO
4 - 0
JUV
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 0
FIO
14%
23%
63%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 1
FAE
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VIR
3 - 2
SMA
72%
19%
10%
|
68 | 29 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FIO
3 - 1
VIR
16%
23%
62%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 2
VIR
14%
23%
63%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 1
JUV
73%
18%
10%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 4
VIR
7%
19%
75%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | +1 |