La Fiorita vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FAE
1 - 0
FIO
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 1
FIO
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 2
FIO
23%
21%
56%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 2
TPE
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 2
TFI
64%
20%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 0
FIO
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
COS
3 - 1
VIR
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 2
FAE
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 0
FAE
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 2
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |