La Fiorita vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
FIO
0 - 7
FIO
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
TPE
1 - 3
FIO
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 0
FIO
24%
22%
53%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FIO
3 - 1
FOL
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TFI
3 - 0
FIO
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 6
SGI
68%
19%
14%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 2
TFI
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
TPE
2 - 2
VIR
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 2
VIR
44%
25%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 1
FIO
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |