La Fiorita vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
5º
3º
23
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 1
LIB
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 2
FIO
10%
21%
69%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FIO
4 - 0
FAE
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
26%
23%
52%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
FIO
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SGI
1 - 1
DOM
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TPE
3 - 1
SGI
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 2
SGI
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 2
FAE
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TFI
1 - 0
SGI
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |